Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Jokinen 50.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 53.9%
Defensive zone
Gordon 96.4%
Neutral zone
Gordon 82.4%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Gordon
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Gordon
Jokinen
Last 8: Gordon 5-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
3
Gordon
Jokinen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
0
Gordon
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
47.6% (168)
+10.6%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
60.7% (56)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
46.2% (26)
+4.9%
On power play, Jokinen has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Jokinen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Gordon
Jokinen
Home
58.4% (586)
56.1% (123)
Away
53.6% (632)
44.9% (127)
By Period
Gordon
Jokinen
P1
55.8%
53.1%
P2
58.1%
51.2%
P3
53.3%
47.3%
OT
68.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 11, 2015 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |