Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +21.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Hayes 38.9% (+21.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 72.6%
Defensive zone
Gordon 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gordon 63.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Gordon
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gordon
Hayes
Last 6: Gordon 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Gordon
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
1
Gordon
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
35.4% (362)
+23.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
52.9% (17)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
0.0% (2)
+54.8%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +54.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gordon is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Gordon shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Gordon
Hayes
Home
60.5% (451)
36.8% (212)
Away
55.2% (458)
34.9% (169)
By Period
Gordon
Hayes
P1
57.7%
40.3%
P2
55.5%
31.1%
P3
60.5%
34.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.8%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
36.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 08:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 07:50 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |