Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +21.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bouma on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bouma shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Bouma 39.5% (+21.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bouma 87.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 83.0%
Neutral zone
Bouma 65.0%
Result
Lance Bouma favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Gordon
Bouma
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gordon
Bouma
Last 6: Gordon 2-4 Bouma
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
1
2
Gordon
Bouma
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Bouma
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bouma
0
2
Gordon
Bouma
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
38.0% (205)
+20.4%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
25.0% (4)
+34.0%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
18.2% (33)
+34.3%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Bouma is 29.5% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Gordon
Bouma
Home
58.3% (3,125)
37.4% (139)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
32.0% (103)
By Period
Gordon
Bouma
P1
57.5%
39.8%
P2
56.8%
32.2%
P3
57.0%
32.7%
OT
40.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
59.1%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |