Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bouma on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Bouma shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Bouma 45.4% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bouma 78.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 82.1%
Neutral zone
Bouma 50.1%
Result
Lance Bouma favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Gordon
Bouma
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gordon
Bouma
Last 5: Gordon 2-3 Bouma
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bouma
1
2
Gordon
Bouma
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Bouma
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bouma
0
1
Gordon
Bouma
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Bouma
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
44.6% (65)
+13.6%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
0.0% (1)
+48.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
0.0% (8)
+51.1%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bouma shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Bouma is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Home / Away
Gordon
Bouma
Home
58.4% (586)
42.9% (49)
Away
53.6% (632)
32.0% (25)
By Period
Gordon
Bouma
P1
55.8%
40.5%
P2
58.1%
42.1%
P3
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 3 | 16:17 | Offensive | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:34 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |