Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Duchene 50.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 54.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 94.3%
Neutral zone
Gordon 81.9%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Gordon
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Gordon
Duchene
Last 8: Gordon 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
0
Gordon
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Gordon
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
51.0% (357)
+5.9%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
53.6% (28)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
50.0% (2)
+6.6%
On power play, Gordon has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gordon is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Gordon shoots right. Duchene is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gordon
Duchene
Home
55.6% (595)
51.0% (208)
Away
58.1% (582)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Gordon
Duchene
P1
57.5%
53.3%
P2
59.8%
53.4%
P3
53.9%
44.6%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.5%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 3 | 00:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:23 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 2 | 14:10 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 2, 2011 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |