Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 55.5% vs Duchene 52.0% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 55.5%
Defensive zone
Gordon 93.1%
Neutral zone
Gordon 76.9%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 82.4%
82.4%
17.6%
Gordon
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Gordon
Duchene
Last 5: Gordon 4-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Gordon
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
0
Gordon
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
58.2% (856)
52.6% (1,081)
+5.6%
Power Play
48.9% (90)
49.6% (119)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (272)
41.2% (17)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Gordon shoots right. Duchene is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Gordon
Duchene
Home
58.4% (586)
54.9% (625)
Away
53.6% (632)
49.3% (592)
By Period
Gordon
Duchene
P1
55.8%
52.7%
P2
58.1%
54.1%
P3
53.3%
49.5%
OT
68.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | OT | 03:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |