Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Santorelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.0% vs Santorelli 50.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Santorelli 90.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 53.0%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 67.0%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Gordon
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Gordon
Santorelli
Last 9: Gordon 3-6 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
2
3
Gordon
Santorelli
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
3
Gordon
Santorelli
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (514)
48.7% (754)
+9.7%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
57.9% (183)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
57.5% (179)
49.4% (87)
+8.1%
On power play, Santorelli has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Gordon is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Gordon shoots right. Santorelli is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Gordon
Santorelli
Home
57.7% (366)
50.0% (502)
Away
58.4% (353)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Gordon
Santorelli
P1
59.3%
53.4%
P2
54.5%
50.4%
P3
60.5%
46.9%
OT
50.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
58.0%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 10:26 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Apr 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:26 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 3 | 04:43 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 06:19 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 6, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |