Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Thompson 52.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Gordon 51.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Gordon
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gordon
Thompson
Last 7: Gordon 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
1
Gordon
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Gordon
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Gordon
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
54.1% (5,812)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
54.8% (135)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
47.9% (1,381)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Gordon is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (4,373).
Gordon shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Gordon
Thompson
Home
58.3% (3,125)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Gordon
Thompson
P1
57.5%
53.2%
P2
56.8%
52.9%
P3
57.0%
52.8%
OT
40.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
59.1%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 16:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |