Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 59.3%
Defensive zone
Gordon 90.5%
Neutral zone
Gordon 77.6%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Gordon
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Gordon
Horcoff
Last 9: Gordon 6-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
1
Gordon
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
3
1
Gordon
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
49.9% (976)
+7.0%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
49.4% (241)
+17.3%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
46.8% (233)
+9.8%
On power play, Gordon has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Gordon is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Gordon shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Gordon
Horcoff
Home
55.6% (595)
52.1% (755)
Away
58.1% (582)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Gordon
Horcoff
P1
57.5%
49.3%
P2
59.8%
47.9%
P3
53.9%
50.7%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2012 | OT | 04:59 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 18, 2012 | OT | 04:21 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 15, 2011 | 3 | 04:51 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |