Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.8% vs Connolly 47.3% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 91.2%
Defensive zone
Gordon 59.8%
Neutral zone
Connolly 79.6%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 82.2%
17.8%
82.2%
Gordon
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gordon
Connolly
Last 7: Gordon 2-5 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
5
Gordon
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Connolly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
58.4% (4,533)
47.4% (1,307)
+11.0%
Power Play
59.0% (244)
50.2% (251)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (1,586)
41.9% (186)
+10.6%
On even strength, Gordon has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Gordon is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,017).
Gordon shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Home / Away
Gordon
Connolly
Home
58.3% (3,125)
48.5% (870)
Away
55.6% (3,265)
45.9% (885)
By Period
Gordon
Connolly
P1
57.5%
47.4%
P2
56.8%
47.7%
P3
57.0%
47.0%
OT
40.3%
37.8%
Final 5 min
59.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.9%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2011 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 2, 2011 | 2 | 18:00 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Feb 20, 2011 | 2 | 08:20 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 3 | 11:17 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 1 | 03:41 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |