Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Zajac 51.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 52.1%
Defensive zone
Gordon 84.0%
Neutral zone
Gordon 74.9%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Gordon
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Gordon
Zajac
Last 6: Gordon 4-2 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
2
Gordon
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Zajac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
51.8% (986)
+7.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
61.1% (185)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
42.1% (216)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Gordon is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Gordon shoots right. Zajac is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Gordon
Zajac
Home
60.5% (451)
54.0% (672)
Away
55.2% (458)
49.2% (715)
By Period
Gordon
Zajac
P1
57.7%
53.1%
P2
55.5%
52.2%
P3
60.5%
50.1%
OT
0.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
62.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 2 | 00:57 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 20, 2015 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |