Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gordon wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.3% vs Bozak 52.5% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 91.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 75.7%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 77.8%
22.2%
77.8%
Gordon
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Gordon
Bozak
Last 9: Gordon 2-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Gordon
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Gordon
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (854)
51.7% (913)
+5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
55.9% (211)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
56.6% (290)
54.9% (51)
+1.7%
On power play, Gordon has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gordon is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Gordon shoots right. Bozak is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Gordon
Bozak
Home
55.6% (595)
52.8% (615)
Away
58.1% (582)
52.5% (583)
By Period
Gordon
Bozak
P1
57.5%
52.5%
P2
59.8%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
55.2%
OT
36.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 06:34 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:48 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |