Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 57.1% vs Bozak 55.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 73.0%
Defensive zone
Gordon 88.6%
Neutral zone
Gordon 71.3%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Gordon
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Gordon
Bozak
Last 9: Gordon 7-2 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Gordon
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
5
0
Gordon
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gordon
2
0
Gordon
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (627)
56.4% (837)
+2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
60.8% (186)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (279)
33.3% (36)
+21.5%
On penalty kill, Gordon has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Gordon is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Gordon shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Gordon
Bozak
Home
60.5% (451)
58.7% (516)
Away
55.2% (458)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Gordon
Bozak
P1
57.7%
55.7%
P2
55.5%
53.4%
P3
60.5%
59.7%
OT
0.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
62.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:10 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 14:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |