Scouting Report
Boyd Gordon holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gordon on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gordon wins 60.7% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.1% vs Johnson 48.3% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gordon 63.4%
Defensive zone
Gordon 93.6%
Neutral zone
Gordon 78.0%
Result
Boyd Gordon favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Gordon
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gordon
Johnson
Last 7: Gordon 5-2 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gordon
Johnson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
4
1
Gordon
Johnson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (1,044)
48.7% (941)
+10.8%
Power Play
65.0% (100)
49.6% (133)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (348)
44.8% (201)
+0.3%
On power play, Gordon has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Gordon is 60.7% vs right-shot opponents (521).
Gordon shoots right. Johnson is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Gordon
Johnson
Home
58.7% (692)
50.5% (588)
Away
54.6% (800)
46.1% (687)
By Period
Gordon
Johnson
P1
57.4%
49.4%
P2
55.2%
47.3%
P3
57.8%
48.1%
OT
28.6%
42.1%
Final 5 min
59.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
56.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:37 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Jan 5, 2014 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:10 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Nov 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |