Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (57.3% vs 56.5%). Look for Sobotka on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gordon wins 57.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sobotka shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gordon 56.5% vs Sobotka 55.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 81.8%
Defensive zone
Gordon 58.3%
Neutral zone
Sobotka 68.0%
Result
Vladimir Sobotka favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Gordon
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Gordon
Sobotka
Last 5: Gordon 1-4 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Gordon
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gordon
1
0
Gordon
Sobotka
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
1
Gordon
Sobotka
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gordon
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (576)
57.0% (398)
+0.8%
Power Play
73.7% (19)
63.9% (36)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (194)
50.0% (72)
+4.1%
On power play, Gordon has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Gordon is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (602).
Gordon shoots right. Sobotka is 56.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Gordon
Sobotka
Home
60.3% (383)
58.3% (252)
Away
54.4% (406)
54.7% (254)
By Period
Gordon
Sobotka
P1
58.4%
55.6%
P2
56.9%
58.5%
P3
58.8%
56.9%
OT
23.5%
14.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gordon
66.0%▲
58.0%
57.3%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Boyd Gordon |
| Mar 14, 2013 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Vladimir Sobotka |