Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyes wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Sutter 50.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Boyes leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 78.3%
Defensive zone
Sutter 82.2%
Neutral zone
Sutter 63.4%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Boyes
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Boyes
Sutter
Last 10: Boyes 5-5 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
1
Boyes
Sutter
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
4
Boyes
Sutter
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Sutter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
50.9% (7,610)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
52.8% (627)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
46.4% (1,797)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Boyes is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Boyes shoots right. Sutter is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (3,385).
Home / Away
Boyes
Sutter
Home
49.9% (419)
50.6% (5,050)
Away
45.5% (440)
49.8% (5,033)
By Period
Boyes
Sutter
P1
50.4%
48.7%
P2
46.4%
50.3%
P3
44.8%
51.5%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2014 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |