Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Sutter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Sutter 44.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 70.1%
Defensive zone
Sutter 74.6%
Neutral zone
Sutter 54.2%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Boyes
Sutter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyes
Sutter
Last 6: Boyes 3-3 Sutter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
1
Boyes
Sutter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
1
2
Boyes
Sutter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Sutter
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
44.7% (1,027)
-2.6%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
45.3% (75)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.2% (225)
+7.8%
On penalty kill, Boyes has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sutter shoots right. Boyes is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Boyes shoots right. Sutter is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Boyes
Sutter
Home
45.7% (164)
44.3% (705)
Away
39.1% (156)
44.4% (644)
By Period
Boyes
Sutter
P1
47.5%
41.0%
P2
39.5%
42.1%
P3
39.4%
49.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
32.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |