Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.6% vs 47.0%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs O'Reilly 47.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 52.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 55.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Boyes
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyes
O'Reilly
Last 6: Boyes 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Boyes
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Boyes
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Boyes
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
46.5% (800)
-0.5%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
50.4% (129)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.0% (8)
-16.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Boyes
O'Reilly
Home
49.9% (419)
50.6% (480)
Away
45.5% (440)
43.2% (465)
By Period
Boyes
O'Reilly
P1
50.4%
47.1%
P2
46.4%
46.7%
P3
44.8%
46.8%
OT
87.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |