Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs O'Reilly 47.1% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 59.8%
Defensive zone
Boyes 57.0%
Neutral zone
Boyes 57.5%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Boyes
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyes
O'Reilly
Last 6: Boyes 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Boyes
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Boyes
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Boyes
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
46.2% (403)
-4.1%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
48.1% (79)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. O'Reilly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (156).
Home / Away
Boyes
O'Reilly
Home
45.7% (164)
48.1% (243)
Away
39.1% (156)
44.9% (254)
By Period
Boyes
O'Reilly
P1
47.5%
43.2%
P2
39.5%
45.6%
P3
39.4%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
32.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 13:31 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 16:27 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 00:44 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |