Scouting Report
Dave Bolland holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bolland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bolland shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Bolland 45.6% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 74.9%
Defensive zone
Bolland 76.3%
Neutral zone
Bolland 53.6%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Boyes
Bolland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Boyes
Bolland
Last 5: Boyes 3-2 Bolland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Bolland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bolland
1
2
Boyes
Bolland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Bolland
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
46.0% (781)
-3.9%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
47.6% (84)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
39.0% (141)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Boyes has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bolland shoots right. Boyes is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Boyes shoots right. Bolland is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Boyes
Bolland
Home
45.7% (164)
45.9% (540)
Away
39.1% (156)
44.2% (468)
By Period
Boyes
Bolland
P1
47.5%
45.0%
P2
39.5%
44.7%
P3
39.4%
46.5%
OT
100.0%
23.1%
Final 5 min
32.1%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Bolland
42.0%▼
44.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 19:09 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Dave Bolland |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Oct 18, 2010 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |