Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Staal 48.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Boyes leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 55.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Boyes
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Boyes
Staal
Last 10: Boyes 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Boyes
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyes
Staal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
1
Boyes
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
47.4% (1,219)
-5.3%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
50.8% (356)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
47.5% (141)
+2.5%
On power play, Staal has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Staal is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Boyes
Staal
Home
45.7% (164)
49.8% (880)
Away
39.1% (156)
46.2% (871)
By Period
Boyes
Staal
P1
47.5%
46.4%
P2
39.5%
46.1%
P3
39.4%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
32.1%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 16:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |