Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Reasoner 53.7% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 75.7%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 84.5%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 64.6%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Boyes
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Boyes
Reasoner
Last 9: Boyes 5-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
1
3
Boyes
Reasoner
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
1
Boyes
Reasoner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
55.7% (1,642)
-9.7%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
56.9% (72)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
45.5% (413)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Reasoner is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (766).
Home / Away
Boyes
Reasoner
Home
49.9% (419)
55.4% (1,032)
Away
45.5% (440)
52.4% (1,123)
By Period
Boyes
Reasoner
P1
50.4%
53.1%
P2
46.4%
53.1%
P3
44.8%
55.3%
OT
87.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 03:41 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |