Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Reasoner on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Reasoner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Reasoner 54.2% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 68.6%
Defensive zone
Reasoner 79.3%
Neutral zone
Reasoner 55.7%
Result
Marty Reasoner favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Boyes
Reasoner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Boyes
Reasoner
Last 7: Boyes 3-4 Reasoner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Reasoner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reasoner
0
3
Boyes
Reasoner
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Reasoner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Reasoner
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
56.1% (923)
-14.0%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
56.1% (57)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.2% (278)
+1.8%
On even strength, Reasoner has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reasoner shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Reasoner is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Home / Away
Boyes
Reasoner
Home
45.7% (164)
56.9% (627)
Away
39.1% (156)
52.2% (657)
By Period
Boyes
Reasoner
P1
47.5%
52.9%
P2
39.5%
53.8%
P3
39.4%
57.1%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
32.1%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 09:43 | Neutral | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 14:58 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:29 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 17:25 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 14:50 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:12 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |