Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 48.0% vs Perreault 50.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Perreault 52.5%
Defensive zone
Perreault 56.0%
Neutral zone
Perreault 55.0%
Result
Mathieu Perreault favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Boyes
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Boyes
Perreault
Last 6: Boyes 4-2 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Boyes
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
1
Boyes
Perreault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (246)
51.8% (413)
-5.1%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
36.4% (33)
+23.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+0.0%
On power play, Boyes has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Boyes is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Boyes shoots right. Perreault is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (149).
Home / Away
Boyes
Perreault
Home
48.7% (113)
50.0% (212)
Away
46.1% (154)
51.5% (239)
By Period
Boyes
Perreault
P1
44.3%
49.0%
P2
48.9%
47.8%
P3
48.1%
56.2%
Final 5 min
51.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.2%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 18:06 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 18:01 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 15:12 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 08:34 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 13:23 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |