Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyes wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Santorelli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Santorelli 50.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 51.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 58.2%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 63.5%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Boyes
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Boyes
Santorelli
Last 9: Boyes 5-4 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
3
2
Boyes
Santorelli
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Santorelli
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
0
2
Boyes
Santorelli
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
48.7% (754)
-6.6%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
57.9% (183)
-13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
49.4% (87)
+0.6%
On power play, Santorelli has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Boyes is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (98).
Boyes shoots right. Santorelli is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (328).
Home / Away
Boyes
Santorelli
Home
45.7% (164)
50.0% (502)
Away
39.1% (156)
50.4% (530)
By Period
Boyes
Santorelli
P1
47.5%
53.4%
P2
39.5%
50.4%
P3
39.4%
46.9%
OT
100.0%
53.3%
Final 5 min
32.1%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 15:38 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:41 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Offensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |