Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Grabovski 48.5% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 56.1%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 54.7%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 54.4%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Boyes
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyes
Grabovski
Last 6: Boyes 3-3 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
3
1
Boyes
Grabovski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
1
Boyes
Grabovski
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
1
Boyes
Grabovski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
47.8% (992)
-5.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
51.4% (222)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.9% (77)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Boyes has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Grabovski is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Boyes
Grabovski
Home
45.7% (164)
50.0% (658)
Away
39.1% (156)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Boyes
Grabovski
P1
47.5%
49.3%
P2
39.5%
47.2%
P3
39.4%
48.4%
OT
100.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
32.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 12, 2011 | 1 | 10:44 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |