Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Boyes wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 48.0% vs Bergeron 58.8% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 15-1 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 85.0%
Defensive zone
Boyes 88.8%
Neutral zone
Boyes 90.3%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 89.0%
89.0%
11.0%
Boyes
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
15
(16 meetings)
1
15
Boyes
Bergeron
Last 10: Boyes 1-9 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Boyes
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
3
Boyes
Bergeron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
9
Boyes
Bergeron
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (246)
61.6% (1,186)
-14.9%
Power Play
60.0% (15)
52.2% (201)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
54.6% (240)
-54.6%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +54.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Boyes is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (84).
Boyes shoots right. Bergeron is 58.2% vs right-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Boyes
Bergeron
Home
48.7% (113)
61.7% (828)
Away
46.1% (154)
56.8% (813)
By Period
Boyes
Bergeron
P1
44.3%
58.5%
P2
48.9%
61.8%
P3
48.1%
57.8%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 1 | 16:39 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 08:59 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |