Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Marleau 50.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 63.1%
Defensive zone
Marleau 72.5%
Neutral zone
Marleau 64.6%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Boyes
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Boyes
Marleau
Last 5: Boyes 4-1 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
4
0
Boyes
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Boyes
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
50.3% (2,656)
-4.3%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
55.7% (332)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.7% (452)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Marleau has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Marleau is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (1,389).
Home / Away
Boyes
Marleau
Home
49.9% (419)
53.3% (1,735)
Away
45.5% (440)
48.5% (1,715)
By Period
Boyes
Marleau
P1
50.4%
52.2%
P2
46.4%
49.5%
P3
44.8%
50.7%
OT
87.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 19:57 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 4, 2010 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |