Scouting Report
Brad Boyes holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyes wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 53.8% vs Couturier 48.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 74.8%
Defensive zone
Couturier 84.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 55.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Boyes
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Boyes
Couturier
Last 5: Boyes 2-3 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
3
Boyes
Couturier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (124)
47.4% (1,052)
+4.2%
Power Play
71.4% (42)
54.7% (95)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.3% (183)
-7.4%
On power play, Boyes has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Boyes is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Boyes shoots right. Couturier is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Boyes
Couturier
Home
54.8% (93)
48.3% (658)
Away
57.5% (80)
48.4% (672)
By Period
Boyes
Couturier
P1
60.0%
50.1%
P2
58.7%
45.5%
P3
47.4%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
59.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2014 | 2 | 10:28 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |