Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Ott 55.4% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 83.9%
Defensive zone
Ott 60.9%
Neutral zone
Boyes 64.1%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Boyes
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Boyes
Ott
Last 7: Boyes 2-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
2
0
Boyes
Ott
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
5
Boyes
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
57.2% (2,802)
-11.2%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
55.4% (567)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
49.9% (853)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Boyes is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Boyes shoots right. Ott is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,681).
Home / Away
Boyes
Ott
Home
49.9% (419)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
45.5% (440)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Boyes
Ott
P1
50.4%
56.7%
P2
46.4%
53.9%
P3
44.8%
55.7%
OT
87.5%
60.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2012 | 2 | 01:48 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |