Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +14.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Ott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyes wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 44.3% vs Ott 56.1% (-14.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 87.6%
Defensive zone
Ott 52.1%
Neutral zone
Boyes 72.7%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Boyes
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Boyes
Ott
Last 6: Boyes 1-5 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
1
0
Boyes
Ott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
0
5
Boyes
Ott
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (252)
58.8% (720)
-16.7%
Power Play
44.4% (63)
52.5% (179)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
53.2% (235)
-3.2%
On even strength, Ott has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Boyes is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Boyes shoots right. Ott is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (404).
Home / Away
Boyes
Ott
Home
45.7% (164)
59.3% (562)
Away
39.1% (156)
54.0% (576)
By Period
Boyes
Ott
P1
47.5%
57.3%
P2
39.5%
54.1%
P3
39.4%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
32.1%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
42.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 17:51 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 05:02 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Steve Ott |