Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Boyes wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyes 61.4%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.4%
Neutral zone
Boyes 55.1%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Boyes
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Boyes
Stamkos
Last 10: Boyes 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Boyes
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Boyes
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Boyes
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
50.4% (9,799)
-4.4%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
55.1% (1,725)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
49.7% (825)
-16.4%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Boyes is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Boyes shoots right. Stamkos is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (3,597).
Home / Away
Boyes
Stamkos
Home
49.9% (419)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.5% (440)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Boyes
Stamkos
P1
50.4%
49.1%
P2
46.4%
52.7%
P3
44.8%
50.9%
OT
87.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 14:57 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 3 | 12:30 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 19, 2012 | 2 | 08:42 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 02:19 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:17 | Neutral | Brad Boyes |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |