Scouting Report
Torrey Mitchell holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Boyes wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyes 47.9% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyes 86.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 76.8%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 53.6%
Result
Brad Boyes favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Boyes
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Boyes
Mitchell
Last 6: Boyes 3-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyes
3
1
Boyes
Mitchell
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Boyes
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Boyes
Mitchell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyes
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (692)
50.7% (2,523)
-4.7%
Power Play
56.5% (147)
54.3% (35)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (15)
50.7% (473)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots right. Boyes is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Boyes shoots right. Mitchell is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (927).
Home / Away
Boyes
Mitchell
Home
49.9% (419)
52.1% (1,521)
Away
45.5% (440)
49.5% (1,512)
By Period
Boyes
Mitchell
P1
50.4%
54.8%
P2
46.4%
48.1%
P3
44.8%
49.6%
OT
87.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyes
60.0%▲
57.0%
47.6%
Mitchell
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Torrey Mitchell |
| Feb 28, 2015 | 2 | 06:20 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Torrey Mitchell |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Brad Boyes |