Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Malone wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malone 52.2% vs Spezza 54.7% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
Malone 53.6%
Defensive zone
Malone 62.6%
Neutral zone
Spezza 51.1%
Result
Brad Malone favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Malone
Spezza
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malone
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (389)
54.4% (7,990)
-1.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
56.8% (1,726)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (36)
52.7% (643)
+0.1%
On power play, Spezza has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Malone is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Malone shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Malone
Spezza
Home
57.1% (161)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
50.2% (275)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Malone
Spezza
P1
55.5%
55.7%
P2
48.2%
54.4%
P3
55.6%
54.1%
Final 5 min
45.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malone
56.0%▲
53.0%
52.8%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%