Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchand on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchand wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Giroux 56.8% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 69.7%
Defensive zone
Giroux 67.2%
Neutral zone
Marchand 67.6%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Marchand
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Marchand
Giroux
Last 8: Marchand 3-5 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
3
0
Marchand
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
3
Marchand
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Marchand
Giroux
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
55.8% (13,861)
-19.2%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
60.5% (4,075)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
57.4% (2,518)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Marchand is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Marchand shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Marchand
Giroux
Home
39.9% (363)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
37.6% (322)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Marchand
Giroux
P1
41.3%
57.5%
P2
35.0%
56.2%
P3
39.2%
57.3%
OT
37.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
37.9%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |