Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 44.2% vs Giroux 57.9% (-18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 65.6%
Defensive zone
Giroux 57.0%
Neutral zone
Marchand 59.7%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Marchand
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchand
Giroux
Last 5: Marchand 2-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
2
0
Marchand
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
2
Marchand
Giroux
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Marchand
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (88)
59.1% (675)
-19.3%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
60.1% (316)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
11.1% (9)
50.5% (97)
-39.4%
On penalty kill, Giroux has a +39.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Marchand is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Marchand shoots left. Giroux is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (776).
Home / Away
Marchand
Giroux
Home
47.3% (74)
61.1% (529)
Away
28.8% (52)
56.4% (559)
By Period
Marchand
Giroux
P1
37.3%
56.3%
P2
37.1%
62.6%
P3
46.9%
56.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
39.7%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Defensive | Claude Giroux |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 01:38 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |