Scouting Report
Luke Adam holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Adam shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Adam 42.8% (-2.2%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 67.1%
Defensive zone
Adam 68.6%
Neutral zone
Marchand 52.8%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Marchand
Adam
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
40.3% (377)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
50.0% (26)
-0.7%
On even strength, Adam has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Marchand
Adam
Home
39.9% (363)
44.9% (187)
Away
37.6% (322)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Marchand
Adam
P1
41.3%
42.1%
P2
35.0%
37.9%
P3
39.2%
43.2%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%