Scouting Report
Mark Olver holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Olver 43.0% (-1.5%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 67.3%
Defensive zone
Olver 61.2%
Neutral zone
Marchand 51.2%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Marchand
Olver
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
40.3% (236)
-3.7%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
53.3% (15)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
0.0% (5)
+31.8%
On penalty kill, Marchand has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Olver is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Marchand
Olver
Home
39.9% (363)
39.4% (132)
Away
37.6% (322)
41.3% (126)
By Period
Marchand
Olver
P1
41.3%
37.8%
P2
35.0%
41.3%
P3
39.2%
41.7%
Final 5 min
37.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%