Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Crosby 53.5% (-14.7%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 16-4 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Marchand 94.5%
Defensive zone
Marchand 93.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 92.4%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 93.6%
93.6%
6.4%
Marchand
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
16
(20 meetings)
4
16
Marchand
Crosby
Last 10: Marchand 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
5
Marchand
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
10
Marchand
Crosby
12 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Marchand
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
52.8% (17,990)
-16.2%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
57.4% (4,733)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
47.1% (765)
-15.3%
On even strength, Crosby has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Marchand
Crosby
Home
39.9% (363)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
37.6% (322)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Marchand
Crosby
P1
41.3%
53.6%
P2
35.0%
53.9%
P3
39.2%
53.3%
OT
37.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
37.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:31 | Neutral | Brad Marchand |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 04:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2015 | 1 | 19:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 1 | 13:57 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |