Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mills wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 55.3% vs Giroux 56.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 82.2%
Defensive zone
Giroux 57.6%
Neutral zone
Giroux 67.7%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Mills
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mills
Giroux
Last 6: Mills 5-1 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mills
4
0
Mills
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (126)
55.8% (13,861)
+1.3%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
60.5% (4,075)
+39.5%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
57.4% (2,518)
-1.4%
On power play, Mills has a +39.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Mills is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Mills shoots right. Giroux is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,124).
Home / Away
Mills
Giroux
Home
63.9% (83)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
52.7% (74)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Mills
Giroux
P1
54.3%
57.5%
P2
58.1%
56.2%
P3
63.3%
57.3%
Final 5 min
61.8%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
58.6%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Brad Mills |