Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Mills wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 56.2% vs Giroux 53.4% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 58.4%
Defensive zone
Mills 78.4%
Neutral zone
Mills 66.8%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Mills
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mills
Giroux
Last 6: Mills 5-1 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mills
4
0
Mills
Giroux
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (98)
50.8% (992)
+9.4%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
63.5% (329)
+36.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
53.9% (191)
+0.6%
On power play, Mills has a +36.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Mills is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Mills shoots right. Giroux is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Mills
Giroux
Home
65.3% (72)
57.4% (812)
Away
55.6% (54)
49.5% (731)
By Period
Mills
Giroux
P1
57.5%
51.9%
P2
60.9%
52.3%
P3
65.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
61.5%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
61.1%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:56 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 16:23 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 06:00 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Brad Mills |