Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 55.3% vs Talbot 47.0% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 94.4%
Defensive zone
Mills 80.0%
Neutral zone
Mills 85.4%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 88.1%
88.1%
11.9%
Mills
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mills
Talbot
Last 6: Mills 5-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
3
0
Mills
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mills
1
0
Mills
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (126)
48.3% (1,738)
+8.8%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
49.0% (51)
+51.0%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
42.3% (631)
+13.7%
On power play, Mills has a +51.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Mills is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mills shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Home / Away
Mills
Talbot
Home
63.9% (83)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
52.7% (74)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Mills
Talbot
P1
54.3%
48.7%
P2
58.1%
43.5%
P3
63.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
61.8%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
58.6%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Brad Mills |