Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mills on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 56.2% vs Talbot 45.1% (+16.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 95.8%
Defensive zone
Mills 80.9%
Neutral zone
Mills 86.2%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Mills
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Mills
Talbot
Last 6: Mills 5-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
3
0
Mills
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mills
1
0
Mills
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (98)
45.1% (450)
+15.1%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
50.0% (20)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
40.5% (163)
+14.0%
On power play, Mills has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Mills is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Mills shoots right. Talbot is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Mills
Talbot
Home
65.3% (72)
47.8% (295)
Away
55.6% (54)
41.4% (345)
By Period
Mills
Talbot
P1
57.5%
47.0%
P2
60.9%
41.5%
P3
65.0%
44.5%
Final 5 min
61.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
61.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 19:03 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 3, 2011 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 19:45 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 02:51 | Defensive | Brad Mills |