Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Mills wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 55.3% vs Granlund 48.5% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 66.5%
Defensive zone
Mills 87.0%
Neutral zone
Mills 76.3%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Mills
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Mills
Granlund
Last 5: Mills 4-1 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
2
0
Mills
Granlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mills
1
0
Mills
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (126)
48.5% (6,718)
+8.6%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
52.7% (748)
+47.3%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
43.6% (635)
+12.4%
On power play, Mills has a +47.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Mills is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Mills shoots right. Granlund is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,959).
Home / Away
Mills
Granlund
Home
63.9% (83)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
52.7% (74)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Mills
Granlund
P1
54.3%
48.7%
P2
58.1%
48.7%
P3
63.3%
48.2%
Final 5 min
61.8%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
58.6%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 3 | 17:24 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 2 | 10:56 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 28, 2013 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Oct 26, 2013 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Brad Mills |