Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +15.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 59.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 55.3% vs Lewis 43.2% (+15.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 52.6%
Defensive zone
Mills 70.5%
Neutral zone
Lewis 53.0%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Mills
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mills
Lewis
Last 6: Mills 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
1
0
Mills
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Mills
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (126)
43.2% (2,347)
+13.9%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
51.9% (108)
+48.1%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
38.6% (365)
+17.4%
On power play, Mills has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Mills is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (52).
Mills shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Mills
Lewis
Home
63.9% (83)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
52.7% (74)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Mills
Lewis
P1
54.3%
42.8%
P2
58.1%
43.9%
P3
63.3%
41.9%
Final 5 min
61.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
58.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |