Scouting Report
Brad Mills holds a +17.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mills wins 64.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mills 56.2% vs Lewis 45.8% (+17.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mills 53.2%
Defensive zone
Mills 57.5%
Neutral zone
Mills 51.0%
Result
Brad Mills favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Mills
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Mills
Lewis
Last 6: Mills 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mills
1
0
Mills
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mills
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
1
2
Mills
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mills
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (98)
45.1% (173)
+15.1%
Power Play
100.0% (5)
37.5% (8)
+62.5%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (22)
35.3% (17)
+19.2%
On power play, Mills has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Mills is 64.3% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Mills shoots right. Lewis is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Home / Away
Mills
Lewis
Home
65.3% (72)
48.3% (89)
Away
55.6% (54)
40.0% (110)
By Period
Mills
Lewis
P1
57.5%
48.5%
P2
60.9%
45.1%
P3
65.0%
35.6%
Final 5 min
61.5%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mills
64.0%▲
58.6%
61.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2011 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 25, 2011 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Brad Mills |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Oct 13, 2011 | 1 | 02:26 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |