Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Richards on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 44.1% vs Richards 49.8% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 69.4%
Defensive zone
Shaw 65.3%
Neutral zone
Shaw 68.4%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Shaw
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Shaw
Richards
Last 7: Shaw 1-6 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Shaw
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Richards
0
2
Shaw
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Richards
0
3
Shaw
Richards
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (636)
49.8% (950)
-5.9%
Power Play
32.4% (37)
53.6% (69)
-21.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (11)
20.0% (10)
+25.5%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +25.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Shaw is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Shaw shoots right. Richards is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Shaw
Richards
Home
46.3% (363)
51.1% (532)
Away
39.9% (321)
48.3% (497)
By Period
Shaw
Richards
P1
47.4%
48.6%
P2
43.0%
51.0%
P3
40.0%
49.8%
OT
46.2%
43.8%
Final 5 min
39.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
43.3%
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:21 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:59 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 11:37 | Defensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Brad Richards |