Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 50.6%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 49.9% vs Richards 50.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 52.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 60.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 58.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Kopitar
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kopitar
Richards
Last 8: Kopitar 6-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Richards
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Richards
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (897)
51.3% (885)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.0% (168)
50.7% (75)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (73)
33.3% (27)
+10.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Kopitar is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Kopitar shoots left. Richards is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Richards
Home
50.0% (600)
49.9% (527)
Away
49.8% (560)
51.4% (463)
By Period
Kopitar
Richards
P1
49.3%
49.2%
P2
53.0%
50.7%
P3
46.9%
52.2%
OT
52.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
49.9%
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2011 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 12:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 2 | 13:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |