Scouting Report
Brian Boyle holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Boyle 50.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 85.7%
Defensive zone
Boyle 72.3%
Neutral zone
Richards 54.5%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Richards
Boyle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Richards
Boyle
Last 7: Richards 2-5 Boyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Richards
Boyle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
0
2
Richards
Boyle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
2
Richards
Boyle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Boyle
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
53.4% (641)
-4.4%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
47.6% (21)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
44.4% (243)
-4.4%
On power play, Boyle has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyle shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Boyle is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (570).
Home / Away
Richards
Boyle
Home
49.8% (424)
51.8% (427)
Away
46.9% (401)
50.0% (478)
By Period
Richards
Boyle
P1
51.3%
50.7%
P2
44.8%
52.7%
P3
49.2%
49.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 17:15 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 17:53 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |