Scouting Report
Brad Richards holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 50.3% vs Nelson 48.3% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Richards 62.3%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.2%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.1%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Richards
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Richards
Nelson
Last 10: Richards 2-8 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
2
4
Richards
Nelson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
5
Richards
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
2
Richards
Nelson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (4,561)
47.9% (9,695)
+2.5%
Power Play
51.0% (512)
54.5% (1,132)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (92)
43.8% (783)
-2.5%
On power play, Nelson has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Richards is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,377).
Richards shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,533).
Home / Away
Richards
Nelson
Home
51.1% (2,671)
50.0% (5,845)
Away
49.5% (2,512)
46.5% (5,766)
By Period
Richards
Nelson
P1
49.6%
48.7%
P2
50.3%
48.5%
P3
51.0%
47.7%
OT
50.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
49.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 05:11 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 3 | 02:50 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 10:20 | Neutral | Brad Richards |
| Feb 6, 2016 | 2 | 01:13 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 17, 2015 | 2 | 16:40 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Dec 13, 2014 | 2 | 00:55 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 31, 2014 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 29, 2014 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Brad Richards |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 20, 2013 | 3 | 13:59 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |